Value bet: Municipal Limeño to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultIsidro Metapán to win ✓38% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓10% · fair 9.61
Isidro Metapán vs Municipal Limeño preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Division sees Isidro Metapán take on Municipal Limeño on Sunday 22 March, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT). Isidro Metapán are 2nd with 35 points from 20 games (in the top four), while Municipal Limeño sit 8th on 23 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Isidro Metapán's last 5: DLDDD Most recently they drew with Águila 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Municipal Limeño's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Platense 2–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Municipal Limeño arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Isidro Metapán and 1.2 for Municipal Limeño. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Isidro Metapán 38%, draw 25%, Municipal Limeño 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Municipal Limeño to win at 3.00 – 37% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Isidro Metapán 1–1 Municipal Limeño. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Isidro Metapán38%fair 2.66 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.00
Municipal Limeño37%fair 2.69 · @3.00
2.48Expected goals
1.25Isidro Metapán xG
1.24Municipal Limeño xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Isidro Metapán 1.2 – 1.2 Municipal Limeño expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Isidro Metapán to win✓
38%
2.66
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Isidro Metapán / FT Isidro Metapán✗
21%
4.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
10%
9.61
–
Form
Isidro Metapán – last 6
DLDDDW
18 Mar
@ Águila
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs FAS
0–3
L
8 Mar
vs Hércules
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Inter
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Platense
1–1
D
19 Feb
vs Firpo
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Municipal Limeño – last 6
WWWWLW
19 Mar
vs Platense
2–0
W
15 Mar
vs Firpo
2–1
W
11 Mar
@ Platense
2–1
W
1 Mar
vs Inter
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Alianza
0–1
L
19 Feb
vs Zacatecoluca
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Isidro Metapán and Municipal Limeño.
What is the prediction for Isidro Metapán vs Municipal Limeño?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Isidro Metapán vs Municipal Limeño?
On our numbers Isidro Metapán have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Municipal Limeño 37%.
How many goals will there be in Isidro Metapán vs Municipal Limeño?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Isidro Metapán vs Municipal Limeño?
Our predicted score is Isidro Metapán 1–1 Municipal Limeño, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Isidro Metapán vs Municipal Limeño?
Isidro Metapán vs Municipal Limeño (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
