Alianza host Cacahuatique in the Primera Division on Thursday 19 March, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT). Alianza are 7th with 26 points from 19 games (in the bottom half), while Cacahuatique sit 9th on 20 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Alianza's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Inter 0–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cacahuatique's last 4: LLWD Most recently they lost to Firpo 0–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Alianza arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Alianza and 0.7 for Cacahuatique. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 51%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Alianza 1–0 Cacahuatique. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alianza65%fair 1.53 · @1.53
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.70
Cacahuatique12%fair 8.62 · @5.75
2.61Expected goals
1.92Alianza xG
0.69Cacahuatique xG
51%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Alianza 1.9 – 0.7 Cacahuatique expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alianza to win✓
65%
1.53
1.53
Double chance
Alianza or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Half-time result
Alianza ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alianza / FT Alianza✗
43%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.10
–
Form
Alianza – last 6
LDWWWW
15 Mar
@ Inter
0–2
L
13 Mar
@ Zacatecoluca
3–3
D
8 Mar
vs Fuerte San Francisco
3–2
W
1 Mar
@ Zacatecoluca
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Municipal Limeño
1–0
W
19 Feb
@ Águila
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cacahuatique – last 4
LLWD
25 Feb
vs Firpo
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs FAS
0–1
L
18 Feb
@ Hércules
3–1
W
15 Feb
vs Isidro Metapán
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alianza and Cacahuatique.
What is the prediction for Alianza vs Cacahuatique?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Alianza vs Cacahuatique?
On our numbers Alianza have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cacahuatique 12%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza vs Cacahuatique?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza vs Cacahuatique?
Our predicted score is Alianza 1–0 Cacahuatique, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Alianza vs Cacahuatique?
Alianza vs Cacahuatique (Primera Division) kicks off on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.