Value bet: Águila to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultÁguila to win ✗60% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.38
Águila vs Isidro Metapán preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Division sees Águila take on Isidro Metapán on Wednesday 18 March, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT). Águila are 4th with 30 points from 19 games (in the top four), while Isidro Metapán sit 3rd on 32 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Águila's last 3: WWL Most recently they beat Fuerte San Francisco 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Isidro Metapán's last 5: LDDDW Most recently they lost to FAS 0–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Águila arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Águila and 0.9 for Isidro Metapán. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 55%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Águila to win at 1.85 – 60% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Águila 1–0 Isidro Metapán. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Águila60%fair 1.68 · @1.85
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @3.25
Isidro Metapán21%fair 4.85 · @3.90
2.58Expected goals
1.72Águila xG
0.86Isidro Metapán xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Águila 1.7 – 0.9 Isidro Metapán expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Águila to win✗
60%
1.68
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Águila / FT Águila✗
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.38
–
Form
Águila – last 3
WWL
26 Feb
@ Fuerte San Francisco
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Inter
1–0
W
19 Feb
vs Alianza
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Isidro Metapán – last 6
LDDDWD
15 Mar
vs FAS
0–3
L
8 Mar
vs Hércules
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Inter
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Platense
1–1
D
19 Feb
vs Firpo
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Cacahuatique
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Águila and Isidro Metapán.
What is the prediction for Águila vs Isidro Metapán?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Águila vs Isidro Metapán?
On our numbers Águila have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Isidro Metapán 21%.
How many goals will there be in Águila vs Isidro Metapán?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Águila vs Isidro Metapán?
Our predicted score is Águila 1–0 Isidro Metapán, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Águila vs Isidro Metapán?
Águila vs Isidro Metapán (Primera Division) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
