Inter host Alianza in the Primera Division on Sunday 15 March, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT). Inter are 5th with 27 points from 19 games (in the top half), while Alianza sit 7th on 26 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Inter's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Zacatecoluca 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Alianza's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Zacatecoluca 3–3 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Alianza arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Inter and 1.5 for Alianza. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Inter 29%, draw 24%, Alianza 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.80, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Inter 1–1 Alianza. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Inter29%fair 3.44 · @3.70
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @2.90
Alianza47%fair 2.11 · @2.00
2.61Expected goals
1.11Inter xG
1.50Alianza xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Inter 1.1 – 1.5 Alianza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alianza to win✗
47%
2.11
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.80
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alianza / FT Alianza✗
28%
3.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.05
–
Form
Inter – last 6
WLDLLW
8 Mar
vs Zacatecoluca
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Municipal Limeño
1–2
L
27 Feb
vs Isidro Metapán
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Águila
0–1
L
19 Feb
@ FAS
1–3
L
15 Feb
vs Hércules
3–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Alianza – last 6
DWWWWL
13 Mar
@ Zacatecoluca
3–3
D
8 Mar
vs Fuerte San Francisco
3–2
W
1 Mar
@ Zacatecoluca
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Municipal Limeño
1–0
W
19 Feb
@ Águila
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ FAS
1–3
L
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Inter and Alianza.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Inter vs Alianza?
On our numbers Inter have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Alianza 47%.
How many goals will there be in Inter vs Alianza?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Inter vs Alianza?
Our predicted score is Inter 1–1 Alianza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Inter vs Alianza?
Inter vs Alianza (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Zacatecoluca0
Hércules0