Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Nagoya Grampus or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Nagoya Grampus to win @ 1.90 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultNagoya Grampus to win ✗60% · @1.90
Double chanceNagoya Grampus or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.06
Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka preview and prediction
The match
Avispa Fukuoka travel to Nagoya Mizuho Athletics Stadium in the J1 League on Sunday 19 April (08:00 WAT) to face Nagoya Grampus. Nagoya Grampus are 3rd with 31 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Avispa Fukuoka sit 10th on 21 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Nagoya Grampus's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Cerezo Osaka 3–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Avispa Fukuoka's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat V-varen Nagasaki 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Nagoya Grampus arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 March 2026, finished Avispa Fukuoka 1–5 Nagoya Grampus.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Nagoya Grampus and 0.9 for Avispa Fukuoka. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nagoya Grampus 60%, draw 23%, Avispa Fukuoka 17%.
Safer route: Nagoya Grampus or draw (83%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Nagoya Grampus to win at 1.90 – 60% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Nagoya Grampus or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Avispa Fukuoka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nagoya Grampus60%fair 1.68 · @1.90
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.40
Avispa Fukuoka17%fair 5.90 · @4.00
2.69Expected goals
1.82Nagoya Grampus xG
0.86Avispa Fukuoka xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Nagoya Grampus 1.8 – 0.9 Avispa Fukuoka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Our pick is Nagoya Grampus or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka?
On our numbers Nagoya Grampus have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Avispa Fukuoka 17%.
How many goals will there be in Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Our predicted score is Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Avispa Fukuoka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Nagoya Mizuho Athletics Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mito Hollyhock2
Kashiwa Reysol0