Value bet: Vissel Kobe to win @ 2.55 – our chance 43% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVissel Kobe to win ✓43% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.62
Vissel Kobe vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima preview and prediction
The match
The J1 League sees Vissel Kobe take on Sanfrecce Hiroshima on Friday 27 March, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Noevir Stadium Kobe. Vissel Kobe are 1st with 35 points from 18 games (top of the table), while Sanfrecce Hiroshima sit 4th on 30 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Vissel Kobe's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Nagoya Grampus 3–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Shimizu S-pulse 1–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Vissel Kobe arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.5 for Vissel Kobe and 1.3 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Vissel Kobe to win at 2.55 – 43% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Vissel Kobe 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vissel Kobe43%fair 2.32 · @2.55
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.25
Sanfrecce Hiroshima35%fair 2.87 · @2.70
2.74Expected goals
1.46Vissel Kobe xG
1.28Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Vissel Kobe 1.5 – 1.3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vissel Kobe to win✓
43%
2.32
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vissel Kobe / FT Vissel Kobe✗
24%
4.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
10.62
–
Form
Vissel Kobe – last 6
WWWWLL
14 Mar
@ Nagoya Grampus
3–0
W
11 Mar
vs FC Seoul
2–1
W
4 Mar
@ FC Seoul
1–0
W
27 Feb
vs Avispa Fukuoka
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Shimizu S-pulse
0–1
L
17 Feb
@ Johor Darul Takzim FC
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sanfrecce Hiroshima – last 6
LLWWLL
22 Mar
@ Shimizu S-pulse
1–3
L
18 Mar
@ Nagoya Grampus
1–2
L
14 Mar
vs Gamba Osaka
2–0
W
11 Mar
vs Johor Darul Takzim FC
1–0
W
4 Mar
@ Johor Darul Takzim FC
1–3
L
27 Feb
vs Kyoto Sanga
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vissel Kobe and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
What is the prediction for Vissel Kobe vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Vissel Kobe vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
On our numbers Vissel Kobe have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sanfrecce Hiroshima 35%.
How many goals will there be in Vissel Kobe vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vissel Kobe vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Our predicted score is Vissel Kobe 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Vissel Kobe vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Vissel Kobe vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (J1 League) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Noevir Stadium Kobe.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
