Value bet: Kyoto Sanga to win @ 2.15 – our chance 50% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKyoto Sanga to win ✗50% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.16
Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga preview and prediction
The match
Kyoto Sanga travel to City Light Stadium in the J1 League on Sunday 8 March (04:55 WAT) to face Fagiano Okayama. Fagiano Okayama are 6th with 26 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Kyoto Sanga sit 8th on 23 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Kyoto Sanga's last 3: WWD Most recently they beat Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.1 for Fagiano Okayama and 1.6 for Kyoto Sanga. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 51%.
Value angle: Kyoto Sanga to win at 2.15 – 50% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Fagiano Okayama 1–1 Kyoto Sanga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fagiano Okayama28%fair 3.61 · @3.45
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.20
Kyoto Sanga50%fair 2.00 · @2.15
2.67Expected goals
1.09Fagiano Okayama xG
1.58Kyoto Sanga xG
51%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Fagiano Okayama 1.1 – 1.6 Kyoto Sanga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kyoto Sanga to win✗
50%
2.00
2.15 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kyoto Sanga / FT Kyoto Sanga✗
29%
3.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.16
–
Form
Fagiano Okayama – last 2
LD
22 Feb
vs Gamba Osaka
1–2
L
14 Feb
@ Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kyoto Sanga – last 3
WWD
27 Feb
@ Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Avispa Fukuoka
2–0
W
14 Feb
@ Shimizu S-pulse
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fagiano Okayama and Kyoto Sanga.
What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga?
On our numbers Fagiano Okayama have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kyoto Sanga 50%.
How many goals will there be in Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga?
Our predicted score is Fagiano Okayama 1–1 Kyoto Sanga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga?
Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 04:55 (West Africa Time) at City Light Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
