Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win @ 1.77 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✗64% · @1.77
Double chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✗84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 8.77
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga preview and prediction
The match
Sanfrecce Hiroshima host Kyoto Sanga in the J1 League on Friday 27 February, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th with 30 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Kyoto Sanga sit 8th on 23 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Sanfrecce Hiroshima's last 3: WDD Most recently they beat Cerezo Osaka 2–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 0.9 for Kyoto Sanga. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 58%.
Safer route: Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw (84%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win at 1.77 – 64% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Kyoto Sanga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sanfrecce Hiroshima64%fair 1.56 · @1.77
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @3.60
Kyoto Sanga16%fair 6.45 · @4.40
2.87Expected goals
2.00Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
0.86Kyoto Sanga xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2.0 – 0.9 Kyoto Sanga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win✗
64%
1.56
1.77 ▲
Double chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw✗
84%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.38
Half-time result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sanfrecce Hiroshima / FT Sanfrecce Hiroshima✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
8.77
–
Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima – last 3
WDD
22 Feb
@ Cerezo Osaka
2–1
W
17 Feb
@ FC Seoul
2–2
D
14 Feb
vs Fagiano Okayama
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Kyoto Sanga – last 2
WD
22 Feb
vs Avispa Fukuoka
2–0
W
14 Feb
@ Shimizu S-pulse
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Kyoto Sanga.
What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga?
Our pick is Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga?
On our numbers Sanfrecce Hiroshima have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Kyoto Sanga 16%.
How many goals will there be in Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga?
Our predicted score is Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Kyoto Sanga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga (J1 League) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Machida Zelvia2
JEF United Chiba1