Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Trelleborg to win @ 1.67 – our chance 67% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTrelleborg to win ✓67% · @1.67
Double chanceTrelleborg or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 9.24
Tvååker vs Trelleborg preview and prediction
The match
Tvååker host Trelleborg in the Ettan Södra on Sunday 20 September, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT). Tvååker are 11th with 38 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Trelleborg sit 1st on 69 points (top of the table). A gap of 31 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tvååker's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to Eskilsminne 2–4 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Trelleborg's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Rosengård 4–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 0.9 for Tvååker and 2.2 for Trelleborg. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Trelleborg to win at 1.67 – 67% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Trelleborg or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tvååker 0–2 Trelleborg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tvååker14%fair 7.14 · @4.00
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @3.60
Trelleborg67%fair 1.50 · @1.67
3.11Expected goals
0.91Tvååker xG
2.20Trelleborg xG
62%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Tvååker 0.9 – 2.2 Trelleborg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Trelleborg to win✓
67%
1.50
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Trelleborg or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Trelleborg ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Trelleborg / FT Trelleborg✗
44%
2.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
11%
9.24
–
Form
Tvååker – last 6
LDWDWW
17 Sep
@ Eskilsminne
2–4
L
12 Sep
vs AFC Malmo
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Jonkopings Sodra
1–0
W
29 Aug
vs Skövde AIK
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Olympic
4–3
W
15 Aug
@ Kristianstad
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Trelleborg – last 6
WWLWLL
17 Sep
@ Rosengård
4–3
W
12 Sep
vs Hässleholms IF
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Skövde AIK
1–2
L
30 Aug
vs Utsikten
2–1
W
22 Aug
@ Trollhättan
1–2
L
16 Aug
vs Eskilsminne
1–3
L
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tvååker and Trelleborg.
Our pick is Trelleborg or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Tvååker vs Trelleborg?
On our numbers Tvååker have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Trelleborg 67%.
How many goals will there be in Tvååker vs Trelleborg?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tvååker vs Trelleborg?
Our predicted score is Tvååker 0–2 Trelleborg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Tvååker vs Trelleborg?
Tvååker vs Trelleborg (Ettan Södra) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
