Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAFC Malmo to win ✗58% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗85% · fair 1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Tvååker vs AFC Malmo preview and prediction
The match
The Ettan Södra sees Tvååker take on AFC Malmo on Saturday 12 September, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT). Tvååker are 11th with 38 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while AFC Malmo sit 4th on 47 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Tvååker's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Jonkopings Sodra 1–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
AFC Malmo's last 5: DDLDL Most recently they drew with Atvidabergs FF 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Tvååker arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 May 2026, finished AFC Malmo 0–1 Tvååker.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.2 for Tvååker and 2.0 for AFC Malmo. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 53% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tvååker 26%, draw 15%, AFC Malmo 58%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was AFC Malmo to win – a 58% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.72, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tvååker 1–2 AFC Malmo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tvååker26%fair 3.79 · @3.10
Draw15%fair 6.46 · @3.40
AFC Malmo58%fair 1.72 · @1.95
3.15Expected goals
1.20Tvååker xG
1.95AFC Malmo xG
53%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–210%
0–18%
0–28%
1–36%
2–16%
From our goals model: Tvååker 1.2 – 2.0 AFC Malmo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is AFC Malmo to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Tvååker vs AFC Malmo?
On our numbers Tvååker have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 15% and AFC Malmo 58%.
How many goals will there be in Tvååker vs AFC Malmo?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tvååker vs AFC Malmo?
Our predicted score is Tvååker 1–2 AFC Malmo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Tvååker vs AFC Malmo?
Tvååker vs AFC Malmo (Ettan Södra) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
