Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: AFC Malmo to win @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAFC Malmo to win ✗58% · @1.91
Double chanceAFC Malmo or draw ✗80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
AFC Malmo vs Lund preview and prediction
The match
Lund travel to Hyllie IP in the Ettan Södra on Saturday 22 August (12:00 WAT) to face AFC Malmo. AFC Malmo are 4th with 47 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Lund sit 2nd on 53 points (in the top four).
Form guide
AFC Malmo's last 5: DLDWL Most recently they drew with Olympic 2–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Lund's last 5: LDDWD Most recently they lost to Hässleholms IF 0–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 June 2026, finished Lund 1–4 AFC Malmo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for AFC Malmo and 1.1 for Lund. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: AFC Malmo 58%, draw 21%, Lund 20%.
Safer route: AFC Malmo or draw (80%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.55.
Value angle: AFC Malmo to win at 1.91 – 58% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was AFC Malmo or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: AFC Malmo 1–1 Lund. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AFC Malmo58%fair 1.71 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.60
Lund20%fair 4.91 · @3.30
3.04Expected goals
1.97AFC Malmo xG
1.07Lund xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: AFC Malmo 2.0 – 1.1 Lund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is AFC Malmo or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win AFC Malmo vs Lund?
On our numbers AFC Malmo have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lund 20%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Malmo vs Lund?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AFC Malmo vs Lund?
Our predicted score is AFC Malmo 1–1 Lund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is AFC Malmo vs Lund?
AFC Malmo vs Lund (Ettan Södra) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Hyllie IP.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
