Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTrelleborg to win ✓42% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.35
AFC Malmo vs Trelleborg preview and prediction
The match
AFC Malmo host Trelleborg in the Ettan Södra on Saturday 8 August, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Hyllie IP. AFC Malmo are 4th with 47 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Trelleborg sit 1st on 69 points (top of the table). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
AFC Malmo's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Angelholms FF 2–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Trelleborg's last 5: DLDWW Most recently they drew with Lund 2–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
AFC Malmo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.5 for AFC Malmo and 1.6 for Trelleborg. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: AFC Malmo 35%, draw 22%, Trelleborg 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: AFC Malmo 1–1 Trelleborg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AFC Malmo35%fair 2.84 · @2.60
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.50
Trelleborg42%fair 2.36 · @2.33
3.09Expected goals
1.46AFC Malmo xG
1.63Trelleborg xG
64%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: AFC Malmo 1.5 – 1.6 Trelleborg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Trelleborg to win✓
42%
2.36
2.33
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.45
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Trelleborg / FT Trelleborg✓
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.35
–
Form
AFC Malmo – last 6
DWLWWW
1 Aug
@ Angelholms FF
2–2
D
27 Jun
vs Jonkopings Sodra
1–0
W
21 Jun
vs Olympic
1–2
L
12 Jun
@ Lund
4–1
W
7 Jun
vs Eskilsminne
2–1
W
30 May
vs Laholm
4–2
W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Trelleborg – last 6
DLDWWL
2 Aug
vs Lund
2–2
D
18 Jul
vs Al Diriyah
1–4
L
26 Jun
@ Kristianstad
0–0
D
18 Jun
vs Rosengård
3–2
W
14 Jun
@ Hässleholms IF
2–0
W
10 Jun
vs Osters IF
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Malmo and Trelleborg.
What is the prediction for AFC Malmo vs Trelleborg?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win AFC Malmo vs Trelleborg?
On our numbers AFC Malmo have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Trelleborg 42%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Malmo vs Trelleborg?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AFC Malmo vs Trelleborg?
Our predicted score is AFC Malmo 1–1 Trelleborg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is AFC Malmo vs Trelleborg?
AFC Malmo vs Trelleborg (Ettan Södra) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Hyllie IP.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
