Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.68 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.68Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTrelleborg to win ✗67% · @1.68
Double chanceTrelleborg or draw ✓87% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 8.86
Trelleborg vs Lund preview and prediction
The match
Lund travel to face Trelleborg in the Ettan Södra on Sunday 2 August (15:00 WAT). Trelleborg are 1st with 69 points from 30 games (top of the table), while Lund sit 2nd on 53 points (in the top four). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Trelleborg's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Al Diriyah 1–4 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lund's last 5: WDLDW Most recently they beat Skövde AIK 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for Trelleborg and 0.9 for Lund. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Trelleborg 67%, draw 21%, Lund 13%.
Safer route: Trelleborg or draw (87%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Trelleborg to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.68, above our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Trelleborg 2–0 Lund. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Trelleborg67%fair 1.50 · @1.68
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.80
Lund13%fair 7.94 · @4.20
3.05Expected goals
2.19Trelleborg xG
0.87Lund xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Trelleborg 2.2 – 0.9 Lund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Trelleborg to win✗
67%
1.50
1.68 ▲
Double chance
Trelleborg or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.48
Half-time result
Trelleborg ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Trelleborg / FT Trelleborg✗
44%
2.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
8.86
–
Form
Trelleborg – last 6
LDWWLW
18 Jul
vs Al Diriyah
1–4
L
26 Jun
@ Kristianstad
0–0
D
18 Jun
vs Rosengård
3–2
W
14 Jun
@ Hässleholms IF
2–0
W
10 Jun
vs Osters IF
1–2
L
7 Jun
vs Skövde AIK
4–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lund – last 6
WDLDWW
27 Jun
vs Skövde AIK
2–1
W
18 Jun
@ Jonkopings Sodra
0–0
D
12 Jun
vs AFC Malmo
1–4
L
7 Jun
@ Kristianstad
1–1
D
3 Jun
@ Olympic
3–1
W
22 May
vs Eskilsminne
4–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Trelleborg and Lund.
Our pick is Trelleborg to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.68.
Who will win Trelleborg vs Lund?
On our numbers Trelleborg have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lund 13%.
How many goals will there be in Trelleborg vs Lund?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Trelleborg vs Lund?
Our predicted score is Trelleborg 2–0 Lund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Trelleborg vs Lund?
Trelleborg vs Lund (Ettan Södra) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
