Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Trelleborg to win @ 1.77 – our chance 66% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTrelleborg to win ✓66% · @1.77
Double chanceTrelleborg or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.58
Trelleborg vs Rosengård preview and prediction
The match
Trelleborg host Rosengård in the Ettan Södra on Thursday 18 June, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT). Trelleborg are 1st with 69 points from 30 games (top of the table), while Rosengård sit 6th on 43 points (in the top half). A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Trelleborg's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Hässleholms IF 2–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Rosengård's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Skövde AIK 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Rosengård arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Trelleborg and 0.8 for Rosengård. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Trelleborg to win at 1.77 – 66% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Trelleborg 2–0 Rosengård. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Trelleborg66%fair 1.52 · @1.77
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.70
Rosengård13%fair 7.74 · @3.75
2.96Expected goals
2.12Trelleborg xG
0.84Rosengård xG
57%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Trelleborg 2.1 – 0.8 Rosengård expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Trelleborg to win✓
66%
1.52
1.77 ▲
Double chance
Trelleborg or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.45
Half-time result
Trelleborg ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Trelleborg / FT Trelleborg✗
43%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.58
–
Form
Trelleborg – last 6
WLWWDD
14 Jun
@ Hässleholms IF
2–0
W
10 Jun
vs Osters IF
1–2
L
7 Jun
vs Skövde AIK
4–0
W
30 May
@ Eskilsminne
3–2
W
23 May
@ Utsikten
0–0
D
17 May
vs Trollhättan
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Rosengård – last 6
WWLWWW
14 Jun
vs Skövde AIK
3–0
W
8 Jun
@ Utsikten
1–0
W
2 Jun
vs Angelholms FF
1–2
L
23 May
vs Olympic
2–1
W
18 May
@ Laholm
3–1
W
13 May
@ Kristianstad
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Trelleborg and Rosengård.
What is the prediction for Trelleborg vs Rosengård?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Trelleborg vs Rosengård?
On our numbers Trelleborg have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Rosengård 13%.
How many goals will there be in Trelleborg vs Rosengård?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Trelleborg vs Rosengård?
Our predicted score is Trelleborg 2–0 Rosengård, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Trelleborg vs Rosengård?
Trelleborg vs Rosengård (Ettan Södra) kicks off on Thursday 18 June 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
