Lund host AFC Malmo in the Ettan Södra on Friday 12 June, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Klostergardens Idrottsplats. Lund are 2nd with 53 points from 30 games (in the top four), while AFC Malmo sit 4th on 47 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Lund's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Kristianstad 1–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
AFC Malmo's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Eskilsminne 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Lund and 1.5 for AFC Malmo. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lund 39%, draw 23%, AFC Malmo 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Lund 1–1 AFC Malmo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lund39%fair 2.53 · @2.40
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.45
AFC Malmo38%fair 2.63 · @2.55
2.96Expected goals
1.49Lund xG
1.46AFC Malmo xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–18%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: Lund 1.5 – 1.5 AFC Malmo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lund to win✗
39%
2.53
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lund / FT Lund✗
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.78
–
Form
Lund – last 6
DWWWLW
7 Jun
@ Kristianstad
1–1
D
3 Jun
@ Olympic
3–1
W
22 May
vs Eskilsminne
4–2
W
17 May
vs Utsikten
5–0
W
13 May
@ Laholm
3–4
L
1 May
@ Hässleholms IF
1–0
W
2.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
AFC Malmo – last 6
WWLWLW
7 Jun
vs Eskilsminne
2–1
W
30 May
vs Laholm
4–2
W
26 May
@ Olympic
3–5
L
23 May
@ Skövde AIK
4–0
W
18 May
vs Tvååker
0–1
L
14 May
@ Trollhättan
2–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lund and AFC Malmo.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Lund vs AFC Malmo?
On our numbers Lund have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and AFC Malmo 38%.
How many goals will there be in Lund vs AFC Malmo?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lund vs AFC Malmo?
Our predicted score is Lund 1–1 AFC Malmo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Lund vs AFC Malmo?
Lund vs AFC Malmo (Ettan Södra) kicks off on Friday 12 June 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Klostergardens Idrottsplats.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
