Value bet: Lund to win @ 2.25 – our chance 48% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLund to win ✗48% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.78
Kristianstad vs Lund preview and prediction
The match
Kristianstad host Lund in the Ettan Södra on Sunday 7 June, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Kristianstads Fotbollsarena. Kristianstad are 12th with 37 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Lund sit 2nd on 53 points (in the top four). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Kristianstad's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Tvååker 2–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Lund's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Olympic 3–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lund arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 March 2026, finished Kristianstad 2–1 Lund.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.3 for Kristianstad and 1.6 for Lund. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Lund to win at 2.25 – 48% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Kristianstad 1–1 Lund. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kristianstad32%fair 3.14 · @2.75
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.45
Lund48%fair 2.10 · @2.25
2.93Expected goals
1.29Kristianstad xG
1.65Lund xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
2–17%
0–27%
1–07%
From our goals model: Kristianstad 1.3 – 1.6 Lund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Kristianstad vs Lund?
On our numbers Kristianstad have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lund 48%.
How many goals will there be in Kristianstad vs Lund?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kristianstad vs Lund?
Our predicted score is Kristianstad 1–1 Lund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Kristianstad vs Lund?
Kristianstad vs Lund (Ettan Södra) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Kristianstads Fotbollsarena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
