Value bet: Skövde AIK to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAFC Malmo to win ✓45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · fair 1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.87
Skövde AIK vs AFC Malmo preview and prediction
The match
Skövde AIK host AFC Malmo in the Ettan Södra on Saturday 23 May, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT). Skövde AIK are 7th with 41 points from 30 games (in the top half), while AFC Malmo sit 4th on 47 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Skövde AIK's last 5: DWDDW Most recently they drew with Eskilsminne 1–1 away. They average 1.4 scored and 1.0 conceded.
AFC Malmo's last 3: LWW Most recently they lost to Tvååker 0–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Skövde AIK and 1.4 for AFC Malmo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Skövde AIK 35%, draw 21%, AFC Malmo 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Skövde AIK to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Skövde AIK 1–1 AFC Malmo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Skövde AIK35%fair 2.90 · @3.10
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.40
AFC Malmo45%fair 2.23 · @2.00
2.48Expected goals
1.13Skövde AIK xG
1.35AFC Malmo xG
60%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Skövde AIK 1.1 – 1.4 AFC Malmo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AFC Malmo to win✓
45%
2.23
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
2.05
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AFC Malmo / FT AFC Malmo✓
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.87
–
Form
Skövde AIK – last 5
DWDDW
17 May
@ Eskilsminne
1–1
D
13 May
@ Utsikten
3–2
W
24 Apr
@ Trollhättan
1–1
D
6 Apr
vs Tvååker
0–0
D
28 Mar
@ Norrby IF
2–1
W
1.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
AFC Malmo – last 3
LWW
18 May
vs Tvååker
0–1
L
14 May
@ Trollhättan
2–0
W
8 May
vs Hässleholms IF
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Skövde AIK and AFC Malmo.
What is the prediction for Skövde AIK vs AFC Malmo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Skövde AIK vs AFC Malmo?
On our numbers Skövde AIK have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and AFC Malmo 45%.
How many goals will there be in Skövde AIK vs AFC Malmo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Skövde AIK vs AFC Malmo?
Our predicted score is Skövde AIK 1–1 AFC Malmo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Skövde AIK vs AFC Malmo?
Skövde AIK vs AFC Malmo (Ettan Södra) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
