Value bet: Jonkopings Sodra to win @ 1.70 – our chance 64% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultJonkopings Sodra to win ✓64% · @1.70
Double chanceJonkopings Sodra or draw ✓88% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓12% · fair 8.65
Jonkopings Sodra vs Hässleholms IF preview and prediction
The match
Jonkopings Sodra host Hässleholms IF in the Ettan Södra on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Stadsparksvallen. Jonkopings Sodra are 9th with 39 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Hässleholms IF sit 3rd on 53 points (in the top four). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Jonkopings Sodra's last 5: DWWLD Most recently they drew with trelleborgs FF 1–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Hässleholms IF's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Eskilsminne 1–3 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Jonkopings Sodra arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Jonkopings Sodra and 0.8 for Hässleholms IF. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 53% and both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Jonkopings Sodra 64%, draw 23%, Hässleholms IF 12%.
Safer route: Jonkopings Sodra or draw (88%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.77.
Value angle: Jonkopings Sodra to win at 1.70 – 64% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Jonkopings Sodra 2–0 Hässleholms IF. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jonkopings Sodra64%fair 1.55 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.55
Hässleholms IF12%fair 8.12 · @4.33
2.94Expected goals
2.09Jonkopings Sodra xG
0.85Hässleholms IF xG
55%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Jonkopings Sodra 2.1 – 0.8 Hässleholms IF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jonkopings Sodra to win✓
64%
1.55
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Jonkopings Sodra or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.30
Half-time result
Jonkopings Sodra ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jonkopings Sodra / FT Jonkopings Sodra✓
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✓
12%
8.65
–
Form
Jonkopings Sodra – last 6
DWWLDW
14 May
@ trelleborgs FF
1–1
D
10 May
vs Laholm
2–1
W
2 May
vs Kristianstad
3–0
W
5 Apr
@ Atvidabergs FF
0–1
L
28 Mar
@ Landskrona BoIS
2–2
D
21 Feb
@ Västra Frölunda
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Hässleholms IF – last 6
LLLWDW
13 May
vs Eskilsminne
1–3
L
8 May
@ AFC Malmo
2–3
L
1 May
vs Lund
0–1
L
17 Apr
vs Olympic
4–0
W
10 Apr
vs Rosengård
1–1
D
3 Apr
@ Trollhättan
4–3
W
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jonkopings Sodra and Hässleholms IF.
What is the prediction for Jonkopings Sodra vs Hässleholms IF?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Jonkopings Sodra vs Hässleholms IF?
On our numbers Jonkopings Sodra have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hässleholms IF 12%.
How many goals will there be in Jonkopings Sodra vs Hässleholms IF?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jonkopings Sodra vs Hässleholms IF?
Our predicted score is Jonkopings Sodra 2–0 Hässleholms IF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Jonkopings Sodra vs Hässleholms IF?
Jonkopings Sodra vs Hässleholms IF (Ettan Södra) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadsparksvallen.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
