The Ettan Södra sees AFC Malmo take on Tvååker on Monday 18 May, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Hyllie IP. AFC Malmo are 4th with 47 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Tvååker sit 11th on 38 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Tvååker's last 4: WLDW Most recently they beat Olympic 1–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for AFC Malmo and 0.8 for Tvååker. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: AFC Malmo 61%, draw 23%, Tvååker 16%.
Safer route: AFC Malmo or draw (84%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: AFC Malmo 2–0 Tvååker. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AFC Malmo61%fair 1.64 · @1.68
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.80
Tvååker16%fair 6.37 · @4.20
2.66Expected goals
1.84AFC Malmo xG
0.82Tvååker xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: AFC Malmo 1.8 – 0.8 Tvååker expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AFC Malmo to win✗
61%
1.64
1.68
Double chance
AFC Malmo or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.71
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.45
Half-time result
AFC Malmo ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AFC Malmo / FT AFC Malmo✗
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.30
–
Form
AFC Malmo – last 2
WW
14 May
@ Trollhättan
2–0
W
8 May
vs Hässleholms IF
3–2
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tvååker – last 4
WLDW
14 May
vs Olympic
1–0
W
2 May
vs Laholm
1–2
L
6 Apr
@ Skövde AIK
0–0
D
28 Mar
@ Laholm
6–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Malmo and Tvååker.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win AFC Malmo vs Tvååker?
On our numbers AFC Malmo have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tvååker 16%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Malmo vs Tvååker?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AFC Malmo vs Tvååker?
Our predicted score is AFC Malmo 2–0 Tvååker, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is AFC Malmo vs Tvååker?
AFC Malmo vs Tvååker (Ettan Södra) kicks off on Monday 18 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Hyllie IP.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
