Value bet: Lund to win @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLund to win ✗53% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.84
Laholm vs Lund preview and prediction
The match
Laholm host Lund in the Ettan Södra on Wednesday 13 May, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Glanninge Park. Laholm are 15th with 32 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Lund sit 2nd on 53 points (in the top four). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Laholm's last 4: LWLL Most recently they lost to Jonkopings Sodra 1–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Lund's last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat Hässleholms IF 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.9 for Laholm and 1.5 for Lund. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Laholm 26%, draw 21%, Lund 53%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Lund to win at 2.05 – 53% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Laholm 0–1 Lund. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Laholm26%fair 3.85 · @3.10
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.40
Lund53%fair 1.87 · @2.05
2.43Expected goals
0.93Laholm xG
1.51Lund xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–112%
0–210%
1–29%
0–09%
1–08%
From our goals model: Laholm 0.9 – 1.5 Lund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lund to win✗
53%
1.87
2.05 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
2.05
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lund / FT Lund✗
30%
3.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.84
–
Form
Laholm – last 4
LWLL
10 May
@ Jonkopings Sodra
1–2
L
2 May
@ Tvååker
2–1
W
4 Apr
@ Eskilsminne
0–1
L
28 Mar
vs Tvååker
1–6
L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Lund – last 6
WDDLLL
1 May
@ Hässleholms IF
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Angelholms FF
0–0
D
4 Apr
@ Rosengård
2–2
D
28 Mar
@ Kristianstad
1–2
L
7 Mar
vs Ariana
1–3
L
28 Feb
vs Rosengård
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Laholm and Lund.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Laholm vs Lund?
On our numbers Laholm have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lund 53%.
How many goals will there be in Laholm vs Lund?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Laholm vs Lund?
Our predicted score is Laholm 0–1 Lund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Laholm vs Lund?
Laholm vs Lund (Ettan Södra) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Glanninge Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
