Value bet: Lund to win @ 2.80 – our chance 44% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultLund to win44% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–110% · fair 10.50
Trollhättan vs Lund preview and prediction
The match
The Ettan Södra sees Trollhättan take on Lund on Saturday 9 May, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Edsborgs IP. Trollhättan are 10th with 38 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Lund sit 2nd on 53 points (in the top four). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Trollhättan's last 4: DLWL Most recently they drew with Skövde AIK 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 3.3 conceded.
Lund's last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat Hässleholms IF 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Trollhättan and 1.5 for Lund. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Trollhättan 36%, draw 20%, Lund 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Lund to win at 2.80 – 44% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Trollhättan 1–1 Lund. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Trollhättan36%fair 2.81 · @2.20
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.50
Lund44%fair 2.27 · @2.80
2.73Expected goals
1.27Trollhättan xG
1.45Lund xG
63%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Trollhättan 1.3 – 1.5 Lund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lund to win
44%
2.27
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
80%
1.26
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
77%
1.30
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
54%
1.85
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
68%
1.48
1.45
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lund / FT Lund
24%
4.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
10%
10.50
–
Form
Trollhättan – last 4
DLWL
24 Apr
vs Skövde AIK
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Hässleholms IF
3–4
L
29 Mar
vs FBK Karlstad
2–1
W
14 Feb
vs Oddevold
1–7
L
1.8Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Lund – last 6
WDDLLL
1 May
@ Hässleholms IF
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Angelholms FF
0–0
D
4 Apr
@ Rosengård
2–2
D
28 Mar
@ Kristianstad
1–2
L
7 Mar
vs Ariana
1–3
L
28 Feb
vs Rosengård
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Trollhättan and Lund.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Trollhättan vs Lund?
On our numbers Trollhättan have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Lund 44%.
How many goals will there be in Trollhättan vs Lund?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Trollhättan vs Lund?
Our predicted score is Trollhättan 1–1 Lund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Trollhättan vs Lund?
Trollhättan vs Lund (Ettan Södra) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Edsborgs IP.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
