Value bet: Hässleholms IF to win @ 3.06 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAFC Malmo to win ✓41% · @2.07
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.52
AFC Malmo vs Hässleholms IF preview and prediction
The match
Hässleholms IF travel to Hyllie IP in the Ettan Södra on Friday 8 May (18:00 WAT) to face AFC Malmo. AFC Malmo are 4th with 47 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Hässleholms IF sit 3rd on 53 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Hässleholms IF's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Lund 0–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.6 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for AFC Malmo and 1.4 for Hässleholms IF. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: AFC Malmo 41%, draw 23%, Hässleholms IF 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Hässleholms IF to win at 3.06 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: AFC Malmo 1–1 Hässleholms IF. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AFC Malmo41%fair 2.44 · @2.07
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.32
Hässleholms IF36%fair 2.76 · @3.06
2.91Expected goals
1.51AFC Malmo xG
1.40Hässleholms IF xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: AFC Malmo 1.5 – 1.4 Hässleholms IF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AFC Malmo to win✓
41%
2.44
2.07
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.24
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AFC Malmo / FT AFC Malmo✓
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.52
–
Form
AFC Malmo
No recent results on record.
Hässleholms IF – last 5
LWDWW
1 May
vs Lund
0–1
L
17 Apr
vs Olympic
4–0
W
10 Apr
vs Rosengård
1–1
D
3 Apr
@ Trollhättan
4–3
W
21 Feb
vs Karlskrona
4–1
W
2.6Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Malmo and Hässleholms IF.
What is the prediction for AFC Malmo vs Hässleholms IF?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win AFC Malmo vs Hässleholms IF?
On our numbers AFC Malmo have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hässleholms IF 36%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Malmo vs Hässleholms IF?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AFC Malmo vs Hässleholms IF?
Our predicted score is AFC Malmo 1–1 Hässleholms IF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is AFC Malmo vs Hässleholms IF?
AFC Malmo vs Hässleholms IF (Ettan Södra) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Hyllie IP.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
