Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Hässleholms IF to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHässleholms IF to win ✗56% · @1.91
Double chanceHässleholms IF or draw ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.90
Hässleholms IF vs Lund preview and prediction
The match
Lund travel to Osteras IP in the Ettan Södra on Friday 1 May (12:00 WAT) to face Hässleholms IF. Hässleholms IF are 3rd with 53 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Lund sit 2nd on 53 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Hässleholms IF's last 4: WDWW Most recently they beat Olympic 4–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.3 per game.
Lund's last 5: DDLLL Most recently they drew with Angelholms FF 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Hässleholms IF arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for Hässleholms IF and 1.0 for Lund. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hässleholms IF 56%, draw 22%, Lund 21%.
Safer route: Hässleholms IF or draw (79%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Hässleholms IF to win at 1.91 – 56% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Hässleholms IF or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Hässleholms IF 1–0 Lund. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hässleholms IF56%fair 1.77 · @1.91
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.40
Lund21%fair 4.74 · @3.45
2.76Expected goals
1.78Hässleholms IF xG
0.98Lund xG
56%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Hässleholms IF 1.8 – 1.0 Lund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hässleholms IF to win✗
56%
1.77
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Hässleholms IF or draw✗
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.36
Half-time result
Hässleholms IF ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hässleholms IF / FT Hässleholms IF✗
35%
2.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.90
–
Form
Hässleholms IF – last 4
WDWW
17 Apr
vs Olympic
4–0
W
10 Apr
vs Rosengård
1–1
D
3 Apr
@ Trollhättan
4–3
W
21 Feb
vs Karlskrona
4–1
W
3.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Lund – last 5
DDLLL
19 Apr
@ Angelholms FF
0–0
D
4 Apr
@ Rosengård
2–2
D
28 Mar
@ Kristianstad
1–2
L
7 Mar
vs Ariana
1–3
L
28 Feb
vs Rosengård
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hässleholms IF and Lund.
What is the prediction for Hässleholms IF vs Lund?
Our pick is Hässleholms IF or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Hässleholms IF vs Lund?
On our numbers Hässleholms IF have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lund 21%.
How many goals will there be in Hässleholms IF vs Lund?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hässleholms IF vs Lund?
Our predicted score is Hässleholms IF 1–0 Lund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Hässleholms IF vs Lund?
Hässleholms IF vs Lund (Ettan Södra) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Osteras IP.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
