Value bet: Estudiantes de Merida FC to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEstudiantes de Merida FC to win ✗60% · @1.85
Double chanceEstudiantes de Merida FC or draw ✗82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Rayo Zuliano preview and prediction
The match
Rayo Zuliano travel to face Estudiantes de Merida FC in the Primera División on Friday 13 February (22:00 WAT). Estudiantes de Merida FC are 9th with 17 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Rayo Zuliano sit 12th on 11 points (in the bottom three).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Estudiantes de Merida FC and 1.0 for Rayo Zuliano. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 53% and both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Estudiantes de Merida FC 60%, draw 22%, Rayo Zuliano 18%.
Safer route: Estudiantes de Merida FC or draw (82%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.77.
Value angle: Estudiantes de Merida FC to win at 1.85 – 60% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Estudiantes de Merida FC 2–1 Rayo Zuliano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Estudiantes de Merida FC60%fair 1.68 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.25
Rayo Zuliano18%fair 5.52 · @3.90
3.04Expected goals
2.01Estudiantes de Merida FC xG
1.03Rayo Zuliano xG
56%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–010%
1–010%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Estudiantes de Merida FC 2.0 – 1.0 Rayo Zuliano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estudiantes de Merida FC to win✗
60%
1.68
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Estudiantes de Merida FC or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.28
Half-time result
Estudiantes de Merida FC ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Estudiantes de Merida FC / FT Estudiantes de Merida FC✗
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.05
–
Form
Estudiantes de Merida FC
No recent results on record.
Rayo Zuliano
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estudiantes de Merida FC and Rayo Zuliano.
What is the prediction for Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Rayo Zuliano?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Rayo Zuliano?
On our numbers Estudiantes de Merida FC have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rayo Zuliano 18%.
How many goals will there be in Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Rayo Zuliano?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Rayo Zuliano?
Our predicted score is Estudiantes de Merida FC 2–1 Rayo Zuliano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Rayo Zuliano?
Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Rayo Zuliano (Primera División) kicks off on Friday 13 February 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
