JäPS travel to Mikkelin Urheilupuisto in the Ykkösliiga on Saturday 17 October (14:00 WAT) to face MP. MP are 7th with 30 points from 27 games (in the bottom half), while JäPS sit 5th on 38 points (in the top half).
Form guide
MP's last 5: DDWDW Most recently they drew with KäPa 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
JäPS's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to JIPPO 0–4 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 August 2026, finished JäPS 1–0 MP. Across their last 3 meetings MP have won 1, JäPS 1, with 1 draw and 1.3 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.5 for MP and 0.9 for JäPS. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: MP 55%, draw 19%, JäPS 26%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was MP to win – a 55% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.82, so there is value in it. Predicted score: MP 1–0 JäPS. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
MP55%fair 1.82 · @1.95
Draw19%fair 5.30 · @3.30
JäPS26%fair 3.84 · @3.20
2.44Expected goals
1.53MP xG
0.91JäPS xG
59%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: MP 1.5 – 0.9 JäPS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is MP to win with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win MP vs JäPS?
On our numbers MP have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 19% and JäPS 26%.
How many goals will there be in MP vs JäPS?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for MP vs JäPS?
Our predicted score is MP 1–0 JäPS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is MP vs JäPS?
MP vs JäPS (Ykkösliiga) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Mikkelin Urheilupuisto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
