Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultKäPa to win ✗47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.10
KäPa vs MP preview and prediction
The match
The Ykkösliiga sees KäPa take on MP on Friday 9 October, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Markku.fi Areena. KäPa are 9th with 25 points from 27 games (in the bottom three), while MP sit 7th on 30 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
KäPa's last 5: WWLDD Most recently they beat Haka 3–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
MP's last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with Kooteepee 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 July 2026, finished MP 2–1 KäPa. Across their last 2 meetings KäPa have won 1, MP 1, with 0 draws and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.5 for KäPa and 1.2 for MP. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: KäPa 47%, draw 20%, MP 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: KäPa 1–1 MP. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
KäPa47%fair 2.12 · @2.00
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.40
MP32%fair 3.09 · @3.00
2.74Expected goals
1.53KäPa xG
1.21MP xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: KäPa 1.5 – 1.2 MP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win KäPa vs MP?
On our numbers KäPa have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 20% and MP 32%.
How many goals will there be in KäPa vs MP?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KäPa vs MP?
Our predicted score is KäPa 1–1 MP, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is KäPa vs MP?
KäPa vs MP (Ykkösliiga) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Markku.fi Areena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
