Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHaka to win ✗67% · @1.44
Double chanceHaka or draw ✗88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12% · fair 8.26
KäPa vs Haka preview and prediction
The match
The Ykkösliiga sees KäPa take on Haka on Friday 25 September, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Markku.fi Areena. KäPa are 9th with 25 points from 27 games (in the bottom three), while Haka sit 3rd on 47 points (in the top four). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
KäPa's last 5: WLDDL Most recently they beat SJK Akatemia 3–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Haka's last 5: WDLLW Most recently they beat Klubi-04 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Haka arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 July 2026, finished Haka 3–1 KäPa.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.8 for KäPa and 2.1 for Haka. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: KäPa 12%, draw 21%, Haka 67%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Haka to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: KäPa 0–2 Haka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
KäPa12%fair 8.62 · @5.00
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @4.00
Haka67%fair 1.49 · @1.44
2.94Expected goals
0.80KäPa xG
2.14Haka xG
57%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–39%
1–37%
From our goals model: KäPa 0.8 – 2.1 Haka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Haka to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win KäPa vs Haka?
On our numbers KäPa have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Haka 67%.
How many goals will there be in KäPa vs Haka?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KäPa vs Haka?
Our predicted score is KäPa 0–2 Haka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is KäPa vs Haka?
KäPa vs Haka (Ykkösliiga) kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Markku.fi Areena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
