KäPa travel to Mikkelin Urheilupuisto in the Ykkösliiga on Wednesday 29 July (16:30 WAT) to face MP. MP are 7th with 30 points from 27 games (in the bottom half), while KäPa sit 9th on 25 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
MP's last 5: DLDWL Most recently they drew with Kooteepee 3–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
KäPa's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Haka 1–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 April 2026, finished MP 0–1 KäPa.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for MP and 1.3 for KäPa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: MP 42%, draw 22%, KäPa 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: MP 1–1 KäPa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
MP42%fair 2.35 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.55
KäPa35%fair 2.83 · @3.00
2.79Expected goals
1.47MP xG
1.32KäPa xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: MP 1.5 – 1.3 KäPa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win MP vs KäPa?
On our numbers MP have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and KäPa 35%.
How many goals will there be in MP vs KäPa?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for MP vs KäPa?
Our predicted score is MP 1–1 KäPa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is MP vs KäPa?
MP vs KäPa (Ykkösliiga) kicks off on Wednesday 29 July 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Mikkelin Urheilupuisto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
