KäPa travel to face Haka in the Ykkösliiga on Saturday 25 July (13:00 WAT). Haka are 3rd with 47 points from 27 games (in the top four), while KäPa sit 9th on 25 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Haka's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Klubi-04 2–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
KäPa's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Klubi-04 0–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Haka arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.3 for Haka and 0.7 for KäPa. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Haka 72%, draw 19%, KäPa 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Haka to win – a 72% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Haka 2–0 KäPa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Haka72%fair 1.39 · @1.36
Draw19%fair 5.20 · @4.60
KäPa9%fair 11.02 · @6.40
3.02Expected goals
2.29Haka xG
0.73KäPa xG
59%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Haka 2.3 – 0.7 KäPa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Haka to win✓
72%
1.39
1.36
Double chance
Haka or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.65
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.62
Half-time result
Haka ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Haka / FT Haka✓
49%
2.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.78
–
Form
Haka – last 6
DWLLWW
17 Jul
@ Klubi-04
2–2
D
11 Jul
vs EIF
3–1
W
5 Jul
@ MP
1–2
L
27 Jun
vs Kooteepee
0–2
L
15 Jun
@ SJK Akatemia
2–0
W
8 Jun
@ Kooteepee
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
KäPa – last 6
LDLWLL
21 Jul
vs Klubi-04
0–2
L
17 Jul
vs SJK Akatemia
2–2
D
10 Jul
@ PK-35
1–3
L
28 Jun
vs JäPS
3–1
W
13 Jun
@ JIPPO
0–3
L
5 Jun
vs Kooteepee
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Haka and KäPa.
Our pick is Haka to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Haka vs KäPa?
On our numbers Haka have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 19% and KäPa 9%.
How many goals will there be in Haka vs KäPa?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Haka vs KäPa?
Our predicted score is Haka 2–0 KäPa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Haka vs KäPa?
Haka vs KäPa (Ykkösliiga) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
