Value bet: JäPS to win @ 1.85 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultJäPS to win ✓63% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.11
JäPS vs SJK Akatemia preview and prediction
The match
SJK Akatemia travel to face JäPS in the Ykkösliiga on Friday 3 July (16:30 WAT). JäPS are 5th with 38 points from 27 games (in the top half), while SJK Akatemia sit 10th on 17 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
JäPS's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to KäPa 1–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
SJK Akatemia's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Klubi-04 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for JäPS and 0.8 for SJK Akatemia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: JäPS to win at 1.85 – 63% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: JäPS 1–0 SJK Akatemia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
JäPS63%fair 1.58 · @1.85
Draw18%fair 5.68 · @3.60
SJK Akatemia19%fair 5.23 · @3.50
2.52Expected goals
1.74JäPS xG
0.77SJK Akatemia xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: JäPS 1.7 – 0.8 SJK Akatemia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
JäPS to win✓
63%
1.58
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.21
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.45
Half-time result
JäPS ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT JäPS / FT JäPS✗
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
7.11
–
Form
JäPS – last 6
LLWLLL
28 Jun
@ KäPa
1–3
L
12 Jun
vs PK-35
0–5
L
5 Jun
@ Haka
2–1
W
29 May
@ KäPa
1–2
L
26 May
vs KuPS
0–1
L
22 May
vs MP
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
SJK Akatemia – last 6
LLDLLL
26 Jun
@ Klubi-04
0–2
L
15 Jun
vs Haka
0–2
L
9 Jun
vs JIPPO
0–0
D
29 May
@ Kooteepee
0–1
L
26 May
vs SJK
0–5
L
22 May
vs Haka
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between JäPS and SJK Akatemia.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win JäPS vs SJK Akatemia?
On our numbers JäPS have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 18% and SJK Akatemia 19%.
How many goals will there be in JäPS vs SJK Akatemia?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for JäPS vs SJK Akatemia?
Our predicted score is JäPS 1–0 SJK Akatemia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is JäPS vs SJK Akatemia?
JäPS vs SJK Akatemia (Ykkösliiga) kicks off on Friday 3 July 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
