Value bet: PK-35 to win @ 1.67 – our chance 67% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPK-35 to win ✓67% · @1.67
Double chancePK-35 or draw ✓88% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.56
PK-35 vs MP preview and prediction
The match
The Ykkösliiga sees PK-35 take on MP on Friday 26 June, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Markku.fi Areena. PK-35 are 2nd with 52 points from 27 games (in the top four), while MP sit 7th on 30 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
PK-35's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat JäPS 5–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
MP's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Klubi-04 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
PK-35 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 May 2026, finished PK-35 3–1 MP.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for PK-35 and 0.5 for MP. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: PK-35 67%, draw 21%, MP 12%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.80.
Value angle: PK-35 to win at 1.67 – 67% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: PK-35 1–0 MP. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
PK-3567%fair 1.49 · @1.67
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.45
MP12%fair 8.65 · @4.80
2.26Expected goals
1.73PK-35 xG
0.53MP xG
49%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–016%
0–010%
1–110%
3–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: PK-35 1.7 – 0.5 MP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win PK-35 vs MP?
On our numbers PK-35 have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and MP 12%.
How many goals will there be in PK-35 vs MP?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PK-35 vs MP?
Our predicted score is PK-35 1–0 MP, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is PK-35 vs MP?
PK-35 vs MP (Ykkösliiga) kicks off on Friday 26 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Markku.fi Areena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
