Value bet: JäPS to win @ 2.65 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultJäPS to win ✗41% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.22
KäPa vs JäPS preview and prediction
The match
JäPS travel to Markku.fi Areena in the Ykkösliiga on Friday 29 May (17:00 WAT) to face KäPa. KäPa are 9th with 25 points from 27 games (in the bottom three), while JäPS sit 5th on 38 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
KäPa's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to EIF 0–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
JäPS's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to KuPS 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for KäPa and 1.3 for JäPS. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: KäPa 36%, draw 23%, JäPS 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.62.
Value angle: JäPS to win at 2.65 – 41% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: KäPa 1–1 JäPS. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
KäPa36%fair 2.79 · @2.38
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.30
JäPS41%fair 2.43 · @2.65
2.40Expected goals
1.15KäPa xG
1.26JäPS xG
60%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: KäPa 1.1 – 1.3 JäPS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
JäPS to win✗
41%
2.43
2.65 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT JäPS / FT JäPS✗
22%
4.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.22
–
Form
KäPa – last 6
LDWWWD
23 May
@ EIF
0–1
L
17 May
vs PK-35
0–0
D
28 Apr
@ VJS II
3–1
W
19 Apr
@ MP
1–0
W
15 Apr
@ PKKU
3–2
W
10 Apr
vs SJK Akatemia
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
JäPS – last 6
LLWWLW
26 May
vs KuPS
0–1
L
22 May
vs MP
0–1
L
13 May
@ HIFK Helsinki
3–1
W
28 Apr
@ Töölön Taisto
9–1
W
21 Apr
@ Haka
0–5
L
14 Apr
@ TuPS
2–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between KäPa and JäPS.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win KäPa vs JäPS?
On our numbers KäPa have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and JäPS 41%.
How many goals will there be in KäPa vs JäPS?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KäPa vs JäPS?
Our predicted score is KäPa 1–1 JäPS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is KäPa vs JäPS?
KäPa vs JäPS (Ykkösliiga) kicks off on Friday 29 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Markku.fi Areena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
