Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultJäPS to win ✗62% · @1.73
Double chanceJäPS or draw ✗87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.55
JäPS vs MP preview and prediction
The match
MP travel to face JäPS in the Ykkösliiga on Friday 22 May (16:30 WAT). JäPS are 5th with 38 points from 27 games (in the top half), while MP sit 7th on 30 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
JäPS's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat HIFK Helsinki 3–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
MP's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to JIPPO 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded.
JäPS arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 February 2026, finished MP 1–1 JäPS.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.4 for JäPS and 0.4 for MP. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: JäPS 62%, draw 25%, MP 13%.
Safer route: JäPS or draw (87%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was JäPS to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: JäPS 1–0 MP. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
JäPS62%fair 1.61 · @1.73
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.30
MP13%fair 7.85 · @4.00
1.86Expected goals
1.41JäPS xG
0.45MP xG
51%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–022%
0–016%
2–015%
1–110%
3–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: JäPS 1.4 – 0.4 MP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is JäPS to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win JäPS vs MP?
On our numbers JäPS have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and MP 13%.
How many goals will there be in JäPS vs MP?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for JäPS vs MP?
Our predicted score is JäPS 1–0 MP, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is JäPS vs MP?
JäPS vs MP (Ykkösliiga) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
