KäPa host PK-35 in the Ykkösliiga on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Markku.fi Areena. KäPa are 9th with 25 points from 27 games (in the bottom three), while PK-35 sit 2nd on 52 points (in the top four). A gap of 27 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
KäPa's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat VJS II 3–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
PK-35's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to KuPS 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for KäPa and 1.5 for PK-35. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: KäPa 31%, draw 21%, PK-35 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: KäPa 1–1 PK-35. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
KäPa31%fair 3.24 · @3.10
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.35
PK-3548%fair 2.07 · @2.05
2.59Expected goals
1.11KäPa xG
1.48PK-35 xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: KäPa 1.1 – 1.5 PK-35 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PK-35 to win✗
48%
2.07
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT PK-35 / FT PK-35✗
27%
3.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.98
–
Form
KäPa – last 6
WWWDWD
28 Apr
@ VJS II
3–1
W
19 Apr
@ MP
1–0
W
15 Apr
@ PKKU
3–2
W
10 Apr
vs SJK Akatemia
2–2
D
6 Apr
@ Klubi-04
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ SJK Akatemia
0–0
D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
PK-35 – last 6
LWWLWW
12 May
vs KuPS
0–2
L
7 May
vs MP
3–1
W
27 Apr
@ StaPa De Royale
8–1
W
24 Apr
vs Kooteepee
0–1
L
19 Apr
@ SJK Akatemia
1–0
W
15 Apr
@ HPS II
5–1
W
2.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between KäPa and PK-35.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win KäPa vs PK-35?
On our numbers KäPa have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 21% and PK-35 48%.
How many goals will there be in KäPa vs PK-35?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KäPa vs PK-35?
Our predicted score is KäPa 1–1 PK-35, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is KäPa vs PK-35?
KäPa vs PK-35 (Ykkösliiga) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Markku.fi Areena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
