Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.40Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.05 – our chance 62% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHaka to win ✓66% · @1.55
Double chanceHaka or draw ✓90% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗27% · fair 3.76
Haka vs JäPS preview and prediction
The match
Haka host JäPS in the Ykkösliiga on Tuesday 21 April, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT). Haka are 3rd with 47 points from 27 games (in the top four), while JäPS sit 5th on 38 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Haka's last 3: WDW Most recently they beat Lasten 3–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
JäPS's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat TuPS 2–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.2 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.6 goals: 1.3 for Haka and 0.3 for JäPS. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Haka 66%, draw 24%, JäPS 10%.
Both teams to score: no (56%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 2.05 – 62% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.40, above our fair price of 1.26, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Haka 1–0 JäPS. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Haka66%fair 1.52 · @1.55
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.95
JäPS10%fair 10.09 · @5.10
1.60Expected goals
1.32Haka xG
0.28JäPS xG
44%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–027%
0–020%
2–018%
3–08%
1–18%
0–16%
From our goals model: Haka 1.3 – 0.3 JäPS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Haka to win✓
66%
1.52
1.55
Double chance
Haka or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.93 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
2.05 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
1.40 ▲
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Haka / FT Haka✓
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
27%
3.76
–
Form
Haka – last 3
WDW
17 Apr
@ Lasten
3–0
W
21 Feb
@ PK-35
1–1
D
18 Feb
vs EIF
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
JäPS – last 5
WWDWD
14 Apr
@ TuPS
2–0
W
10 Apr
vs Klubi-04
1–0
W
6 Apr
@ JIPPO
0–0
D
28 Mar
vs TPV
1–0
W
21 Feb
@ MP
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Haka and JäPS.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Haka vs JäPS?
On our numbers Haka have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 24% and JäPS 10%.
How many goals will there be in Haka vs JäPS?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Haka vs JäPS?
Our predicted score is Haka 1–0 JäPS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Haka vs JäPS?
Haka vs JäPS (Ykkösliiga) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
