MP host KäPa in the Ykkösliiga on Sunday 19 April, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Mikkelin Urheilupuisto. MP are 7th with 30 points from 27 games (in the bottom half), while KäPa sit 9th on 25 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
MP's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat JIPPO 2–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
KäPa's last 4: WDWD Most recently they beat PKKU 3–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
KäPa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for MP and 1.4 for KäPa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: MP 34%, draw 20%, KäPa 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: MP 1–1 KäPa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
MP34%fair 2.97 · @2.75
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.50
KäPa46%fair 2.18 · @2.25
2.60Expected goals
1.17MP xG
1.43KäPa xG
62%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: MP 1.2 – 1.4 KäPa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
KäPa to win✓
46%
2.18
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.45
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT KäPa / FT KäPa✓
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
11%
9.42
–
Form
MP – last 5
WLLDD
14 Apr
@ JIPPO
2–1
W
10 Apr
@ Kooteepee
0–1
L
6 Apr
@ SJK Akatemia
0–1
L
25 Feb
@ Kooteepee
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs JäPS
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
KäPa – last 4
WDWD
15 Apr
@ PKKU
3–2
W
10 Apr
vs SJK Akatemia
2–2
D
6 Apr
@ Klubi-04
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ SJK Akatemia
0–0
D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between MP and KäPa.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win MP vs KäPa?
On our numbers MP have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 20% and KäPa 46%.
How many goals will there be in MP vs KäPa?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for MP vs KäPa?
Our predicted score is MP 1–1 KäPa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is MP vs KäPa?
MP vs KäPa (Ykkösliiga) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Mikkelin Urheilupuisto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
