Value bet: I.S.P.E to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultI.S.P.E to win ✓60% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗71% · @1.33
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.30
I.S.P.E vs Dagon Port preview and prediction
The match
The National League sees I.S.P.E take on Dagon Port on Wednesday 11 March, kicking off at 10:30 (WAT).
Form guide
I.S.P.E's last 3: LLW Most recently they lost to Thitsar Arman 1–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 3.0 conceded.
Dagon Port's last 4: WWDL Most recently they beat Rakhine United 5–3 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game.
Dagon Port arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.4 goals: 2.7 for I.S.P.E and 1.7 for Dagon Port. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 82% likely and both teams score in 71% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: I.S.P.E 60%, draw 15%, Dagon Port 25%.
Both teams to score: yes (71%) at 1.33.
Value angle: I.S.P.E to win at 1.80 – 60% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 71% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: I.S.P.E 2–1 Dagon Port. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
I.S.P.E60%fair 1.67 · @1.80
Draw15%fair 6.53 · @4.00
Dagon Port25%fair 4.02 · @3.20
4.43Expected goals
2.70I.S.P.E xG
1.73Dagon Port xG
71%Both score
82%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
3–17%
2–26%
3–26%
1–16%
1–25%
From our goals model: I.S.P.E 2.7 – 1.7 Dagon Port expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
I.S.P.E to win✓
60%
1.67
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
71%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
I.S.P.E ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT I.S.P.E / FT I.S.P.E✗
39%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.30
–
Form
I.S.P.E – last 3
LLW
4 Mar
@ Thitsar Arman
1–2
L
25 Feb
vs Shan United
1–6
L
15 Feb
@ Yarmanya United
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Dagon Port – last 4
WWDL
6 Mar
vs Rakhine United
5–3
W
26 Feb
vs Yarmanya United
5–2
W
20 Feb
@ Thitsar Arman
2–2
D
14 Feb
@ Ayeyawady United
0–1
L
3.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between I.S.P.E and Dagon Port.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win I.S.P.E vs Dagon Port?
On our numbers I.S.P.E have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Dagon Port 25%.
How many goals will there be in I.S.P.E vs Dagon Port?
We expect about 4.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 82% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for I.S.P.E vs Dagon Port?
Our predicted score is I.S.P.E 2–1 Dagon Port, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.4 goals in total.
When is I.S.P.E vs Dagon Port?
I.S.P.E vs Dagon Port (National League) kicks off on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
