Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDagon to win ✗62% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Thitsar Arman vs Dagon preview and prediction
The match
Thitsar Arman host Dagon in the National League on Monday 9 March, with kick-off at 10:30 (WAT) at Yangon United Sports Complex. Thitsar Arman are 9th with 5 points from 6 games (in the bottom half), while Dagon sit 2nd on 13 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Thitsar Arman's last 3: WDD Most recently they beat I.S.P.E 2–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Dagon's last 3: LWW Most recently they lost to Sagaing United 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.1 for Thitsar Arman and 2.0 for Dagon. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 53% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Dagon to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Thitsar Arman 1–2 Dagon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Thitsar Arman22%fair 4.52 · @3.10
Draw16%fair 6.24 · @3.70
Dagon62%fair 1.62 · @1.91
3.13Expected goals
1.09Thitsar Arman xG
2.04Dagon xG
53%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–110%
0–29%
0–19%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Thitsar Arman 1.1 – 2.0 Dagon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dagon to win✗
62%
1.62
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
84%
1.19
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.50
Half-time result
Dagon ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dagon / FT Dagon✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.08
–
Form
Thitsar Arman – last 3
WDD
4 Mar
vs I.S.P.E
2–1
W
26 Feb
vs Ayeyawady United
0–0
D
20 Feb
vs Dagon Port
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Dagon – last 3
LWW
3 Mar
@ Sagaing United
0–1
L
24 Feb
vs Rakhine United
1–0
W
19 Feb
vs Yadanarbon
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Thitsar Arman and Dagon.
What is the prediction for Thitsar Arman vs Dagon?
Our pick is Dagon to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Thitsar Arman vs Dagon?
On our numbers Thitsar Arman have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Dagon 62%.
How many goals will there be in Thitsar Arman vs Dagon?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Thitsar Arman vs Dagon?
Our predicted score is Thitsar Arman 1–2 Dagon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Thitsar Arman vs Dagon?
Thitsar Arman vs Dagon (National League) kicks off on Monday 9 March 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Yangon United Sports Complex.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.