Yadanarbon vs Ayeyawady United prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Yadanarbon or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Yadanarbon to win @ 1.85 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultYadanarbon to win ✓63% · @1.85
Double chanceYadanarbon or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.88
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗8% · fair 12.43
Yadanarbon vs Ayeyawady United preview and prediction
The match
Yadanarbon host Ayeyawady United in the National League on Thursday 5 March, with kick-off at 10:00 (WAT). Yadanarbon are 4th with 10 points from 6 games (in the top four), while Ayeyawady United sit 11th on 3 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Yadanarbon's last 3: WLL Most recently they beat Hantharwady United 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Ayeyawady United's last 3: DWW Most recently they drew with Thitsar Arman 0–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ayeyawady United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for Yadanarbon and 0.9 for Ayeyawady United. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 47%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Yadanarbon 63%, draw 19%, Ayeyawady United 18%.
Safer route: Yadanarbon or draw (82%) at 1.22.
Value angle: Yadanarbon to win at 1.85 – 63% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Yadanarbon or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Yadanarbon 2–0 Ayeyawady United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Yadanarbon63%fair 1.59 · @1.85
Draw19%fair 5.27 · @3.55
Ayeyawady United18%fair 5.55 · @3.35
3.08Expected goals
2.19Yadanarbon xG
0.89Ayeyawady United xG
47%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Yadanarbon 2.2 – 0.9 Ayeyawady United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Yadanarbon to win✓
63%
1.59
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Yadanarbon or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Yadanarbon ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Yadanarbon / FT Yadanarbon✗
44%
2.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
8%
12.43
–
Form
Yadanarbon – last 3
WLL
24 Feb
@ Hantharwady United
1–0
W
19 Feb
@ Dagon
1–2
L
14 Feb
vs Shan United
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ayeyawady United – last 3
DWW
26 Feb
@ Thitsar Arman
0–0
D
19 Feb
vs Rakhine United
2–1
W
14 Feb
vs Dagon Port
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Yadanarbon and Ayeyawady United.
What is the prediction for Yadanarbon vs Ayeyawady United?
Our pick is Yadanarbon or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Yadanarbon vs Ayeyawady United?
On our numbers Yadanarbon have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Ayeyawady United 18%.
How many goals will there be in Yadanarbon vs Ayeyawady United?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yadanarbon vs Ayeyawady United?
Our predicted score is Yadanarbon 2–0 Ayeyawady United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Yadanarbon vs Ayeyawady United?
Yadanarbon vs Ayeyawady United (National League) kicks off on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
