EC São Bernardo vs Portuguesa Santista prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.43 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.43Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.99 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPortuguesa Santista to win ✓39% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.99
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.12
EC São Bernardo vs Portuguesa Santista preview and prediction
The match
EC São Bernardo host Portuguesa Santista in the Paulista A3 on Sunday 15 March, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT).
Form guide
EC São Bernardo's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Bandeirante SP 2–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Portuguesa Santista's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Rio Preto 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Portuguesa Santista arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for EC São Bernardo and 1.2 for Portuguesa Santista. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.99 – 54% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.43. Predicted score: EC São Bernardo 1–1 Portuguesa Santista. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
EC São Bernardo35%fair 2.83 · @2.54
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @2.96
Portuguesa Santista39%fair 2.54 · @2.62
2.24Expected goals
1.08EC São Bernardo xG
1.16Portuguesa Santista xG
54%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: EC São Bernardo 1.1 – 1.2 Portuguesa Santista expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portuguesa Santista to win✓
39%
2.54
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.99 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.43
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.49
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.13
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portuguesa Santista / FT Portuguesa Santista✓
21%
4.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.12
–
Form
EC São Bernardo – last 6
DWWLLW
12 Mar
@ Bandeirante SP
2–2
D
8 Mar
@ Itapirense
3–0
W
4 Mar
vs Rio Branco SP
4–0
W
1 Mar
@ Rio Claro
0–1
L
25 Feb
vs Uniao Barbarense
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Paulista
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Portuguesa Santista – last 6
WWLWWW
12 Mar
vs Rio Preto
1–0
W
8 Mar
vs Francana
1–0
W
4 Mar
@ União São João
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Catanduva
3–1
W
25 Feb
@ XV de Jau
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Itapirense
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between EC São Bernardo and Portuguesa Santista.
What is the prediction for EC São Bernardo vs Portuguesa Santista?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.43.
Who will win EC São Bernardo vs Portuguesa Santista?
On our numbers EC São Bernardo have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Portuguesa Santista 39%.
How many goals will there be in EC São Bernardo vs Portuguesa Santista?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for EC São Bernardo vs Portuguesa Santista?
Our predicted score is EC São Bernardo 1–1 Portuguesa Santista, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is EC São Bernardo vs Portuguesa Santista?
EC São Bernardo vs Portuguesa Santista (Paulista A3) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A3 · Brazil
Francana3
Rio Claro0
Bandeirante SP0
Catanduva0