Portuguesa Santista vs Rio Preto prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPortuguesa Santista to win ✓59% · @1.70
Double chancePortuguesa Santista or draw ✓81% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.73
Portuguesa Santista vs Rio Preto preview and prediction
The match
Portuguesa Santista host Rio Preto in the Paulista A3 on Thursday 12 March, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio Ulrico Mursa.
Form guide
Portuguesa Santista's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Francana 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.4 scored and 0.4 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for Portuguesa Santista and 0.8 for Rio Preto. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 53%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Portuguesa Santista 59%, draw 22%, Rio Preto 19%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 53% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Portuguesa Santista 2–0 Rio Preto. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Portuguesa Santista59%fair 1.70 · @1.70
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.25
Rio Preto19%fair 5.17 · @5.00
2.38Expected goals
1.61Portuguesa Santista xG
0.77Rio Preto xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Portuguesa Santista 1.6 – 0.8 Rio Preto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portuguesa Santista to win✓
59%
1.70
1.70
Double chance
Portuguesa Santista or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portuguesa Santista / FT Portuguesa Santista✗
35%
2.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
15%
6.73
–
Form
Portuguesa Santista – last 5
WLWWW
8 Mar
vs Francana
1–0
W
4 Mar
@ União São João
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Catanduva
3–1
W
25 Feb
@ XV de Jau
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Itapirense
1–0
W
1.4Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Rio Preto – last 2
WW
4 Mar
@ Francana
3–1
W
25 Feb
vs Paulista
2–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portuguesa Santista and Rio Preto.
What is the prediction for Portuguesa Santista vs Rio Preto?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Portuguesa Santista vs Rio Preto?
On our numbers Portuguesa Santista have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rio Preto 19%.
How many goals will there be in Portuguesa Santista vs Rio Preto?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portuguesa Santista vs Rio Preto?
Our predicted score is Portuguesa Santista 2–0 Rio Preto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Portuguesa Santista vs Rio Preto?
Portuguesa Santista vs Rio Preto (Paulista A3) kicks off on Thursday 12 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ulrico Mursa.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A3 · Brazil · Estadio Ulrico Mursa
Bandeirante SP2
EC São Bernardo2