Itapirense vs EC São Bernardo prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.37 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.37Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultEC São Bernardo to win ✓45% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.10
Itapirense vs EC São Bernardo preview and prediction
The match
The Paulista A3 sees Itapirense take on EC São Bernardo on Sunday 8 March, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Itapirense's last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat Desportivo Brasil 2–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
EC São Bernardo's last 4: WLLW Most recently they beat Rio Branco SP 4–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
EC São Bernardo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Itapirense and 1.3 for EC São Bernardo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Itapirense 33%, draw 22%, EC São Bernardo 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.93.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.37. Predicted score: Itapirense 1–1 EC São Bernardo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Itapirense33%fair 3.06 · @3.10
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.08
EC São Bernardo45%fair 2.22 · @2.15
2.36Expected goals
1.05Itapirense xG
1.31EC São Bernardo xG
53%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Itapirense 1.1 – 1.3 EC São Bernardo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
EC São Bernardo to win✓
45%
2.22
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.27
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.37
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.14
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT EC São Bernardo / FT EC São Bernardo✓
25%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.10
–
Form
Itapirense – last 5
WDDLL
4 Mar
@ Desportivo Brasil
2–1
W
1 Mar
vs União São João
1–1
D
26 Feb
vs Rio Claro
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Portuguesa Santista
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Bandeirante SP
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
EC São Bernardo – last 4
WLLW
4 Mar
vs Rio Branco SP
4–0
W
1 Mar
@ Rio Claro
0–1
L
25 Feb
vs Uniao Barbarense
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Paulista
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Itapirense and EC São Bernardo.
What is the prediction for Itapirense vs EC São Bernardo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.37.
Who will win Itapirense vs EC São Bernardo?
On our numbers Itapirense have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and EC São Bernardo 45%.
How many goals will there be in Itapirense vs EC São Bernardo?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Itapirense vs EC São Bernardo?
Our predicted score is Itapirense 1–1 EC São Bernardo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Itapirense vs EC São Bernardo?
Itapirense vs EC São Bernardo (Paulista A3) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A3 · Brazil
Rio Claro2
Bandeirante SP3