Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.28
Ferroviária vs Monte Azul preview and prediction
The match
Ferroviária host Monte Azul in the Paulista A2 on Sunday 22 February, with kick-off at 22:00 (WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Ferroviária and 0.6 for Monte Azul. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 50%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ferroviária 68%, draw 21%, Monte Azul 11%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ferroviária to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ferroviária 1–0 Monte Azul. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ferroviária68%fair 1.47 · @1.60
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.45
Monte Azul11%fair 8.81 · @5.40
2.46Expected goals
1.86Ferroviária xG
0.60Monte Azul xG
50%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–015%
1–19%
3–09%
2–19%
0–09%
From our goals model: Ferroviária 1.9 – 0.6 Monte Azul expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ferroviária to win✓
68%
1.47
1.60 ▲
Double chance
Ferroviária or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.09
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Ferroviária ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ferroviária / FT Ferroviária✓
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
16%
6.28
–
Form
Ferroviária – last 1
D
19 Feb
@ São José EC
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Monte Azul – last 1
D
18 Feb
vs Oeste
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ferroviária and Monte Azul.
What is the prediction for Ferroviária vs Monte Azul?
Our pick is Ferroviária to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Ferroviária vs Monte Azul?
On our numbers Ferroviária have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Monte Azul 11%.
How many goals will there be in Ferroviária vs Monte Azul?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ferroviária vs Monte Azul?
Our predicted score is Ferroviária 1–0 Monte Azul, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ferroviária vs Monte Azul?
Ferroviária vs Monte Azul (Paulista A2) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A2 · Brazil
Juventus0
Sao Bento0
Linense0
Grêmio Prudente2
Oeste1
Votuporanguense2
XV de Piracicaba1
Inter De Limeira0