Germany vs Ghana prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓
Value bet: Over 3.5 goals @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Germany 3.4 – 1.6 Ghana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Germany are clear favourites at home with a 69% chance of winning, against 12% for Ghana.
Germany have taken 3 points from their last 1 matches (1W 0D 0L), scoring 4.0 and conceding 3.0 per game. Ghana have 0 points from their last 1 (0W 0D 1L), averaging 1.0 scored and 5.0 conceded. Germany come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 5.0 goals (3.4 for Germany, 1.6 for Ghana). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 3–1 (7%), 2–1 (6%), 4–1 (6%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 78% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.38 is better than our fair price of 1.28, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Over 3.5 goals at 1.95 is our value angle (61% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Germany to win ✓ | 69% | 1.45 | 1.19 |
| Double chance | Germany or draw ✓ | 88% | 1.14 | 1.03 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 57% | 1.75 | 1.83 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 90% | 1.11 | 1.11 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.38 ▲ |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✗ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Half-time result | Germany ahead at half-time ✓ | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Germany / FT Germany ✓ | 50% | 2.00 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 3–1 ✗ | 7% | 14.24 | – |
Form
Germany – last 1
| 27 Mar | @ Switzerland | 4–3 | W |
Ghana – last 1
| 27 Mar | @ Austria | 1–5 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Germany and Ghana.
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What is the prediction for Germany vs Ghana?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Germany vs Ghana?
On our numbers Germany have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Ghana 12%.
How many goals will there be in Germany vs Ghana?
We expect about 5.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Germany vs Ghana?
Germany vs Ghana (Friendlies) kicks off on Monday 30 March 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at MHPArena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.