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Premier League · Jamaica · Waterhouse Mini Stadium

Waterhouse vs Tivoli Gardens prediction & analysis

86%
Footrivo pick

Waterhouse or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: Waterhouse to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultWaterhouse to win ✗60% · @1.95
Double chanceWaterhouse or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.71

Waterhouse vs Tivoli Gardens preview and prediction

The match

Tivoli Gardens travel to Waterhouse Mini Stadium in the Premier League on Monday 16 February (01:00 WAT) to face Waterhouse. Waterhouse are 2nd with 18 points from 9 games (in the top four), while Tivoli Gardens sit 8th on 12 points (in the bottom half).

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Waterhouse and 0.6 for Tivoli Gardens. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Waterhouse or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Waterhouse 1–0 Tivoli Gardens. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Waterhouse60%fair 1.67 · @1.95
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.10
Tivoli Gardens14%fair 7.39 · @3.75
2.20Expected goals
1.58Waterhouse xG
0.62Tivoli Gardens xG
50%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–018%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
3–07%

From our goals model: Waterhouse 1.6 – 0.6 Tivoli Gardens expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWaterhouse to win ✗60%1.671.95 ▲
Double chanceWaterhouse or draw ✓86%1.161.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓50%1.981.91
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.531.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.671.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.251.20
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Waterhouse / FT Waterhouse ✗37%2.69–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18%5.71–

Form

Waterhouse

No recent results on record.

Tivoli Gardens

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Waterhouse and Tivoli Gardens.

Waterhouse vs Tivoli Gardens head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tru-Juice9621+1420
2Waterhouse9531+1518
3Racing United9522+817
4Montego Bay United9441+516
5Mount Pleasant Academy8422014
6Arnett Gardens9342+513
7Cavalier8413+213
8Tivoli Gardens9333+512
9Portmore United7241+410
10Chapelton9243-710
11Dunbeholden9216-87
12Molynes United9216-117
13Treasure Beach9135-106
14Humble Lions9027-222

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Waterhouse vs Tivoli Gardens?

Our pick is Waterhouse or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Waterhouse vs Tivoli Gardens?

On our numbers Waterhouse have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Tivoli Gardens 14%.

How many goals will there be in Waterhouse vs Tivoli Gardens?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Waterhouse vs Tivoli Gardens?

Our predicted score is Waterhouse 1–0 Tivoli Gardens, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Waterhouse vs Tivoli Gardens?

Waterhouse vs Tivoli Gardens (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 16 February 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Waterhouse Mini Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.