Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Cerezo Osaka to win @ 2.75 – our chance 45% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCerezo Osaka to win ✓45% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.48
Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka preview and prediction
The match
Cerezo Osaka travel to Best Denki Stadium in the J1 League on Sunday 15 February (07:00 WAT) to face Avispa Fukuoka. Avispa Fukuoka are 10th with 21 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while Cerezo Osaka sit 2nd on 31 points (in the top four).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.0 for Avispa Fukuoka and 1.2 for Cerezo Osaka. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Cerezo Osaka to win at 2.75 – 45% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Avispa Fukuoka 0–1 Cerezo Osaka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Avispa Fukuoka33%fair 3.04 · @2.60
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.10
Cerezo Osaka45%fair 2.25 · @2.75
2.21Expected goals
0.99Avispa Fukuoka xG
1.22Cerezo Osaka xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–113%
0–011%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Avispa Fukuoka 1.0 – 1.2 Cerezo Osaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cerezo Osaka to win✓
45%
2.25
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.50
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cerezo Osaka / FT Cerezo Osaka✓
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.48
–
Form
Avispa Fukuoka
No recent results on record.
Cerezo Osaka
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Avispa Fukuoka and Cerezo Osaka.
What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka?
On our numbers Avispa Fukuoka have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cerezo Osaka 45%.
How many goals will there be in Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka?
Our predicted score is Avispa Fukuoka 0–1 Cerezo Osaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka?
Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Best Denki Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.