Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.49 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.49Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 52% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNacional AM to win ✗48% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.38
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.17
Nacional AM vs Manaus FC preview and prediction
The match
The Amazonense sees Nacional AM take on Manaus FC on Friday 20 February, kicking off at 01:30 (WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.2 for Nacional AM and 0.8 for Manaus FC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nacional AM 48%, draw 24%, Manaus FC 28%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.05 – 52% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.49. Predicted score: Nacional AM 1–0 Manaus FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nacional AM48%fair 2.07 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @2.80
Manaus FC28%fair 3.58 · @3.20
2.00Expected goals
1.19Nacional AM xG
0.80Manaus FC xG
52%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
0–014%
1–113%
0–111%
2–010%
2–18%
From our goals model: Nacional AM 1.2 – 0.8 Manaus FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nacional AM to win✗
48%
2.07
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.38 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.46
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.49
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nacional AM / FT Nacional AM✗
26%
3.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.17
–
Form
Nacional AM
No recent results on record.
Manaus FC
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nacional AM and Manaus FC.
What is the prediction for Nacional AM vs Manaus FC?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.49.
Who will win Nacional AM vs Manaus FC?
On our numbers Nacional AM have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Manaus FC 28%.
How many goals will there be in Nacional AM vs Manaus FC?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nacional AM vs Manaus FC?
Our predicted score is Nacional AM 1–0 Manaus FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Nacional AM vs Manaus FC?
Nacional AM vs Manaus FC (Amazonense) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Amazonense · Brazil
