Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓15% · fair 6.62
Le Messager Ngozi vs Musongati preview and prediction
The match
The Ligue A sees Le Messager Ngozi take on Musongati on Thursday 12 March, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT). Le Messager Ngozi are 7th with 17 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Musongati sit 4th on 20 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Musongati's last 3: WDW Most recently they beat Olympic Star 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.9 for Le Messager Ngozi and 1.0 for Musongati. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Le Messager Ngozi 32%, draw 27%, Musongati 41%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 50% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Le Messager Ngozi 0–1 Musongati. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Le Messager Ngozi32%fair 3.12 · @2.88
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @3.20
Musongati41%fair 2.44 · @2.25
1.92Expected goals
0.89Le Messager Ngozi xG
1.03Musongati xG
50%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–015%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Le Messager Ngozi 0.9 – 1.0 Musongati expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Le Messager Ngozi
Musongati
Attack vs Ligue A average
-23%
+48%
Goals conceded vs average
-35%
-21%
Our expected goals here
0.87
0.99
Our own ratings from every Ligue A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Musongati to win✓
41%
2.44
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
15%
6.62
–
Form
Le Messager Ngozi – last 1
W
1 Mar
vs Green Farmers FC
4–0
W
4.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Musongati – last 3
WDW
6 Mar
vs Olympic Star
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Rukinzo
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Green Farmers FC
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Le Messager Ngozi and Musongati.
What is the prediction for Le Messager Ngozi vs Musongati?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Le Messager Ngozi vs Musongati?
On our numbers Le Messager Ngozi have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Musongati 41%.
How many goals will there be in Le Messager Ngozi vs Musongati?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Le Messager Ngozi vs Musongati?
Our predicted score is Le Messager Ngozi 0–1 Musongati, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Le Messager Ngozi vs Musongati?
Le Messager Ngozi vs Musongati (Ligue A) kicks off on Thursday 12 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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