Value bet: Deportivo Muñiz to win @ 3.50 – our chance 30% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeones de Rosario to win ✓46% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗71% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.66
Deportivo Muñiz vs Leones de Rosario preview and prediction
The match
Leones de Rosario travel to face Deportivo Muñiz in the Primera C on Monday 13 April (19:30 WAT). Deportivo Muñiz are 14th with 29 points from 32 games (in the bottom three), while Leones de Rosario sit 4th on 51 points (in the top four). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Deportivo Muñiz's last 5: DDDLL Most recently they drew with Atletico Atlas 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.
Leones de Rosario's last 3: LDD Most recently they lost to Centro Español 1–4 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.7 for Deportivo Muñiz and 1.0 for Leones de Rosario. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Deportivo Muñiz to win at 3.50 – 30% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Deportivo Muñiz 0–1 Leones de Rosario. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Muñiz30%fair 3.30 · @3.50
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @2.95
Leones de Rosario46%fair 2.16 · @2.10
1.76Expected goals
0.73Deportivo Muñiz xG
1.02Leones de Rosario xG
47%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–118%
0–017%
1–113%
1–013%
0–29%
1–27%
From our goals model: Deportivo Muñiz 0.7 – 1.0 Leones de Rosario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leones de Rosario to win✓
46%
2.16
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.60
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.66
–
Form
Deportivo Muñiz – last 5
DDDLL
5 Apr
@ Atletico Atlas
1–1
D
30 Mar
vs Canuelas
1–1
D
23 Mar
vs JJ Urquiza
1–1
D
16 Mar
vs Yupanqui
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Central Cordoba
0–1
L
0.6Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Leones de Rosario – last 3
LDD
23 Mar
vs Centro Español
1–4
L
9 Mar
vs El Porvenir
0–0
D
2 Mar
@ Central Ballester
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Muñiz and Leones de Rosario.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Muñiz vs Leones de Rosario?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Deportivo Muñiz vs Leones de Rosario?
On our numbers Deportivo Muñiz have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Leones de Rosario 46%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Muñiz vs Leones de Rosario?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Muñiz vs Leones de Rosario?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Muñiz 0–1 Leones de Rosario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Muñiz vs Leones de Rosario?
Deportivo Muñiz vs Leones de Rosario (Primera C) kicks off on Monday 13 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
