Value bet: Juventud Unida to win @ 3.20 – our chance 37% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultJuventud Unida to win ✗37% · @3.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓70% · fair 1.43
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.74
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗71% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 6.94
Estrella Del Sur vs Juventud Unida preview and prediction
The match
Estrella Del Sur host Juventud Unida in the Primera C on Monday 12 October, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT). Estrella Del Sur are 3rd with 48 points from 32 games (in the top four), while Juventud Unida sit 8th on 45 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Estrella Del Sur's last 5: DWDDL Most recently they drew with Sacachispas 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Juventud Unida's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Berazategui 3–2 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Juventud Unida arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 June 2026, finished Juventud Unida 2–0 Estrella Del Sur.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.9 for Estrella Del Sur and 1.0 for Juventud Unida. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Estrella Del Sur 33%, draw 30%, Juventud Unida 37%.
Value angle: Juventud Unida to win at 3.20 – 37% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Estrella Del Sur 0–1 Juventud Unida. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Estrella Del Sur33%fair 3.04 · @2.70
Draw30%fair 3.33 · @2.40
Juventud Unida37%fair 2.70 · @3.20
1.95Expected goals
0.94Estrella Del Sur xG
1.02Juventud Unida xG
42%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–014%
1–114%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Estrella Del Sur 0.9 – 1.0 Juventud Unida expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Estrella Del Sur vs Juventud Unida?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Estrella Del Sur vs Juventud Unida?
On our numbers Estrella Del Sur have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Juventud Unida 37%.
How many goals will there be in Estrella Del Sur vs Juventud Unida?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estrella Del Sur vs Juventud Unida?
Our predicted score is Estrella Del Sur 0–1 Juventud Unida, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Estrella Del Sur vs Juventud Unida?
Estrella Del Sur vs Juventud Unida (Primera C) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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